英语翻译石油作为一种重要的能源,对经济的发展有着巨大的贡献,被誉为黑金、工业的血液和经济增长的发动机.这些年来我国经济不

英语翻译
石油作为一种重要的能源,对经济的发展有着巨大的贡献,被誉为黑金、工业的血液和经济增长的发动机.这些年来我国经济不断快速的向前发展,石油消费量也随之剧增,但由于种种原因,我国的原油产量一直未有显著提高,造成石油缺口越来越大,需要从国外大量进口原油,对国际市场石油的依存度不断加深,因此,国际石油价格的波动必然会对我国通货膨胀造成一定的影响.研究国际石油价格波动对我国通货膨胀的影响,对有关当局为了稳定物价水平,缓解通胀压力而采取和制定相关政策具有重要的参考价值和借鉴意义.
\x05本文选取了2001年到2011年四月的我国消费者价格指数和国际油价的数据进行定量分析,通过构建VAR模型,通过协整检验和格兰杰因果检验,结果表明国际油价不是我国通货膨胀的格兰杰原因,我国通货膨胀是国际油价的格兰杰原因,并分析了其可能的原因,最后得出了结论并提出了相关的政策建议来规避国际石油价格波动对我国带来的潜在通胀风险.
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Oil as an important source of energy, the economy has a huge contribution to the development, known as black gold, industrial and economic growth in the blood of the engine. Years of continuous economic development of fast forward, oil consumption increase sharply, but for various reasons, China's crude oil production has not increased significantly, resulting in increasing the oil gap, you need to import large quantities of crude oil from abroad, dependence on international oil market continues to deepen, so the volatility of international oil prices will inevitably cause some of the impact of inflation. Of the international oil price fluctuations on the impact of inflation on the authorities to stabilize the price level and ease inflationary pressure and the development of relevant policies taken an important reference value and reference.
This article selected from 2001 to April 2011 the consumer price index in China and the international oil price data for quantitative analysis, by constructing VAR model, the cointegration test and Granger causality test results show that the international oil price is not the Currency Granger cause inflation, China's inflation is Granger cause in international oil prices, and analyzes its possible causes, and finally came to the conclusion and put forward policy recommendations related to circumvent the international oil price fluctuations brought on China the potential risk of inflation.
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